IMF quarter of the global economic downturn risk warning event intensive incoming U.S. stock market center: exclusive national industry sector stocks, premarket after hours, ETF, real-time quotes warrants the global debt high, inflation remains in the doldrums, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and reduced the expected global economic growth in 2016. IMF released the latest "global economic prospects" (WEO) cut 2016 growth rate is expected to 3.1% (-0.1%), next year rose to 3.4% (-0.1%); slashed U.S. economic growth in 2016 to 1.6% (-0.8%); Chinese increase economic growth in 2016 to 6.6% (+0.1%), but still should pay attention to non financial warning China the problem of high debt. Note that the global financial stability report in the earlier release of "IMF" (GFSR) said, non bank financial intermediaries, such as Asset Management Co and the rise of the insurance company, in the role of monetary policy transmission will be more important, so the impact of future changes in monetary policy and financial market volatility on the real economy may become more quickly and obviously. A quarter of last 2016, the Fed rate hike, the U.S. presidential election, the referendum in Italy, a British exit prospects and a series of risk events are likely to further shake the financial markets, but also could spill over into the real economy, worthy of attention. IMF lowered global economic growth expectations for the United States this year is IMF growth forecast down from 2.2% in July to the current 1.6%, the reason is the weak business investment and inventory accumulation slowed growth in the first half performance. U.S. economic growth is likely to increase to 2.2% next year, as the adverse effects of falling energy prices and the dollar’s decline. It is precisely because the economic situation is not optimistic, so IMF also called on the Federal Reserve to further raise the policy interest rate action should be gradual, and linked to the signs of persistent wage and price stability". In addition to the United States, the greater the reduction is the United kingdom. UK June back to Europe after the referendum uncertainty will have an adverse impact on investor confidence. IMF believes that UK growth is expected to slow from 2.2% last year to this year’s and 1.1% in 2017. Meanwhile, the euro zone economy will grow by 1.7% this year, next year to, while in 2015 was $2%. "The European Central Bank should maintain the current accommodative policy stance," IMF said. "If inflation does not rise, it may be necessary to further loosen monetary policy by expanding asset purchases." Recently, foreign media quoted informed sources said the ECB or to reduce the amount of 10 billion euros per month to buy assets to end QE, and when to begin to reduce asset purchases depends on the economy. The news led to European stocks opened lower across the board, but the mainstream view is that, given the core inflation index, the euro zone PMI index has not yet reached the goal, ahead of austerity is impossible. It is worth noting that the previously hit emerging markets have reversed, which is also the first time in six years, 1相关的主题文章:

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